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Survivor Guatemala: Episode 9 Rankings

Written by Citanul from the blog Statistically Speaking - Survivor on 14 Jun 2006
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(For an explanation of the ranking system, click here)

Episode statistics

Votes
Bobby Jon: 6
Stephenie: 2
Cindy: 1

Survivors ranked by challenge performance
(Previous episode's positions given in brackets)
1) Jamie (6)
2) Judd (4)
2) Rafe (6)
2) Stephenie (6)
5) Cindy (5)
5) Gary (1)
7) Danni (10)
8) Bobby Jon (2)
9) Lydia (6)

This episode it was pretty easy.  For the reward challenge the survivors were ranked based on their final position (which means Jamie's in 4th place for that challenge).

For the immunity challenge, survivors are ranked based on the stage of the challenge they completed.  All those who failed at a certain stage are ranked equally for the immunity challenge.

This means that Jamie, having won immunity and achieving 4th position in the reward challenge is the best for this episode.  Judd and Rafe having done well in one challenge but poorly in the other make it into joint 2nd place, together with Stephenie who did fairly well in both challenges.

Overall rankings

Survivors ranked by votes received
1) Danni (1)
1) Gary (1)
1) Rafe (1)
4) Cindy (1)
4) Judd (6)
6) Stephenie (1)
7) Jamie (8)
8) Lydia (9)
9) Bobby Jon (7)

There are still 3 survivors who have yet to receive a vote against them.  Given that two of them are in a minority alliance, that will probably change next episode.

Survivors ranked by average challenge performance
1) Judd (1)
2) Rafe (3)
3) Cindy (2)
4) Stephenie (4)
5) Jamie (6)
6) Gary (7)
7) Danni (8)
8) Bobby Jon (9)
8) Lydia (10)

I've revised the ranking method, as the way I did it previously just took the average challenge ranking.  There was a problem in this that someone ranked in 18th position for Episode 1 would have that counting against them even though it would be impossible for anyone else to ever be ranked 18th.

So the new method recalculates the rankings for each episode relative to those survivors left in the game.  Therefore if someone was ranked 18th for Episode 1 the recalculated score would rank them 9th, as there are only 9 people left.

The positions given in brackets are the positions that the survivors would had last episode on the new ranking system (although you never saw them).  The changes this week are Rafe moving ahead of Cindy as a result of a better immunity challenge performance this week, and Lydia now tying with Bobby Jon for last place, which is a result of her being on the winning tribe more often than Bobby Jon.

Survivors ranked by votes and challenge performance
1) Rafe (2)
2) Gary (4)
3) Danni (5)
3) Judd (6)
5) Cindy (1)
6) Stephenie (3)
7) Jamie (9)
8) Lydia (10)
9) Bobby Jon (8)

I've also revised this ranking method.  The way I had done it before looked at the average postion on the average challenge perfomance rankings, with the result that it essentially tracked the survivors' movements on that ranking.

There's nothing wrong with that, except that it makes more sense to look at the latest vote and average challenge rankings and combine those.  If anybody has been using this ranking the Prediction League my apologies, but it's probably better to make any changes half-way through, rather than any later.

Once again, the positions in brackets are the positions the survivors would have had on the new ranking system.  The changes that have occurred are that everyone who received votes this episode has moved down (on the old system not everyone would have moved).



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